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The current position of the market is in the circle. Generally speaking, when the market starts to rise, it is always unconscious to most people, because many people are aware of it after seeing the facts. It used to be said that stock trading is "seven-point mentality, two-point technology and one-point luck". I think this statement is correct, but in A shares, it is more accurate to change the mentality to policy+mentality. Although the stock markets all over the world are policy markets, A shares are more obvious.2. The CPI of the United States in November was in line with expectations, and the interest rate cut was stable!Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:

2. From September to December, MA5 continuously crossed the four moving averages of 15, 30, 60 and 120, which is the confirmation of the upward trend;In April, October and November, the volume of transactions increased sharply, which was close to the volume of the bull market in 2015, indicating that a large number of off-exchange funds entered the market, and the volume increased in price, and then rose.According to the market style rotation in the first half of the year, the non-mainstream styles are short-lived rotation. In the first half of the year, the mainstream dividend was high, and it was a new low after the rapid rotation of other industries. Now, the same high dividend is not cost-effective. After the rapid rotation, the market opportunity will still be the mainstream theme, low price and small ticket style. This is the decision of incremental funds, and incremental funds will definitely not engage in high-ranking institutions and the direction of the national team's heavy position.

2. From September to December, MA5 continuously crossed the four moving averages of 15, 30, 60 and 120, which is the confirmation of the upward trend;Following the imperial court, Galaxy started to accelerate again yesterday, and its stocks began to perform one after another, and a new ticket with low price, small size, technology and consumption was selected for opening positions.The above four long-term technical indicators all show that the market trend has changed, from bears to cattle. As far as the general direction and technical indicators are concerned, the market is now on the road to a bull market, and I think the probability is 100%, and there is no contingency.